Last week I wrote: "The low past week reached exactly the 161.8% Fibonacci target. Last week I mentioned: "I assume that this consolidation phase and pullback is not yet finished. I expect a correction up to previous price support once more becoming price resistance." From the low of the week, there was an up correction to a previous price high and, the PP pivot level of the month. There is a convergent move between the index and the SRSI indicator. This usually means that the last up move is just a correction and that the down move will continue after the correction. It looks like Friday the downtrend resumed. Nearby targets are at 2550 and 2450. Read my updated comments here for the weekly chart and monthly chart for more information regarding the longer term view."
The past week made another pullback to the PP-pivot level of the month. This level is also the 50% retrace over the last wave 'a' down. My feeling is that the up correction will probably go up a fraction higher to the 61.8% Fibonacci retrace or even more if the current wave is a wave '2' and not a wave 'b'. The funny thing is that if the 61.8% retrace is reached and we make a Fibonacci projection down over the 'b' wave that moment in time, the 161.8% target is exactly the S2-pivot target level. I am still expecting this 2450 level as the next low target. Read my updated comments here for the weekly chart and monthly chart for more information regarding the longer term view.
Sylvain Vervoort http://stocata.org/
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