STwo weeks ago I wrote: "As expected last week the index finished the wave B up correction on Tuesday and started the move down for Correction wave C. As I already mentioned with the weekly chart, the B retrace is rather large which possibly means the the correction is not a B-wave but, rather an impulse wave 2 correction. For now I just leave the current annotation because, both expect a further move down. The first target is 2450. If it is a wave 3 that is coming, the first target will be lower to around 2380. Note the negative divergence (1) higher tops in price and lower tops in the SRSI indicator that announced the first move down from top . Next there is a convergent move (2) that made us expect a correction wave B up. And now another convergent move with lower tops or a hidden divergent move that informs us to expect a continuation of the previous down move. There is resistance for an up move with static price resistance and resistance of the PP-Pivot level of the month. Better be prepared for a continuation of the downtrend. Read my updated comments here for the weekly chart and monthly chart for more information regarding the longer term view."
A week ago the index reached the upper side of the volatility band with a new higher top. The past week there was a correction bringing the index down to the 50-day average. There is a negative divergence between the higher top in price and lower top in the Stochastic RSI indicator. I guess the B-wave is completed and the index will continue to move down. First target is around 2700 where there is price support, support from the PP pivot level of the month and support from the 100-day average and the low side of the volatility band. The medium term target for the completion of the C-wave is at 2450. Read my updated comments here for the weekly chart and monthly chart for more information regarding the longer term view.
Sylvain Vervoort https://stocata.org/